FSP Retail Blog
Reserve, Collect and Spend a Little More
More Reasons . . .
Liberty, Equality, Sorority
Getting our numbers right
Early on in my FSP career I was instructed in the value of “Value”. The Value of Retail Sales, in the rawest possible form, completely un-corrupted by seasonal fiddles and unaffected by the transmogrification to Volume as defined in ONS speak here:
“The value of retail sales reported via the monthly survey is converted to a chained volume basis using weighted contributions of price indices for various categories of retail goods.”
Right.
So, ONS have their reasons, and the journalists are now on a feeding frenzy as ONS admit they could have done it differently. What is unequivocal is that despite the re-basing to 2005 (they could do that at any time), what FSP has quoted through SnapShop is still true. Seems our decision to stick to Value is entirely merited and I asked Geoff, our MD, to explain why
“For exactly the reasons that have got ONS into trouble. We take the figures as raw as possible. As soon as you start adjusting figures, there is potential not only for error but for dispute. Even adjusting for seasonality, e.g. date of Easter, is difficult to get right. Value is what the retailer sees – most do not formally adjust their figures at all. And why do we want volume – you can’t pay your bills with volume – value is what matters.
“The whole volume issue is fraught because of the issue of comparability. Is the white shirt included this month really of the same quality as the white shirt included last month? The price checking is conducted by market research interviewers and once you introduce people, hard facts get edged out by subjectivity and black and white becomes grey”.
For more on what Geoff thinks, you can read Geoff’s view in SnapShop Monthly and see the ONS Retail Sales Unadjusted Value figures along with other key economic indicators our UK Overview
SSM May 2009 - So Typically English
Many jokes have been told about the English over the years - about our stiff upper lips, love of scones and clothes made of tweed - but nothing is quite as quintessentially English as a good old cup of tea and a cigarette, is it?
Unfortunately, while tea is still in abundance, its harder to get a cigarette these days than it used to be; you have to be older, hardier and much more wealthy than in the past, and if you want one with your pint down the local then you better be as weatherproof as Ronseal Quick Drying Woodstain, because outside is the only option! Or so we thought…
The landlady of the Cutting Edge in Barnsley has exploited a loophole in the country's smoking ban by opening a "smoking research centre" where drinkers can legally light up.
Patrons must fill in a questionnaire on their smoking habits to satisfy legal requirements before sitting down for a drink and a cigarette, but are then free to drink and smoke as they please! And maybe what they’re pleased to drink could soon be changing too, as the first alcoholic brewed tea drink – called Twisted Tea - is set to hit Tesco shelves later this year.
…Vices? What vices?
Many Happy Returns
Lots of birthdays going on at the moment – or should I say birth-years - as many retailers seem to be celebrating the fact that they’ve been around for significantly more than the average person (even the cosseted and therefore presumably well-preserved MPs!)
Marks & Spencer are celebrating 125 years, as are Jaeger, whilst Sainsbury’s has clocked up a whopping 140 years! We at FSP can barely compete; what we had considered a reasonably mature 30 years, seems barely pubescent in comparison!
A look at the FSP database of retail information shows that the three grandfathers of retail mentioned above are not alone. The award for amazing durability goes to Ede & Ravenscroft, tailors of distinction. Their timeless offer and niche service offering mean that 320 years on they still have a loyal following and a place in a select market.
The league table of oldest retailers is most definitely dominated by high end exclusivity. You won’t be surprised to hear that retailers older than 200 years include Fortnum & Mason, Villeroy & Boch, Wedgwood, Hamleys, Mappin & Webb, Asprey and Gieves & Hawkes.
The durability of these retailers is undoubtedly a reflection of their ability to afford investment in customer service, along with providing their superior product.
Using FSP’s price classification, retailers identified with an offering any lower than middle were founded much later, although M&Co did made an appearance in 1834 and DE Shoes, Greenwoods and Peacocks were established in the late 19th century.
It will be interesting to see who, out of Primark (founded in 1969 with a Value price stance), Next (founded in 1982 with a Middle price stance) or Mulberry (founded in 1974 with a Premium price stance), will still be around in the 22nd century!
FSP values reflected in new board appointment
Today we report that our Board of Directors has been strengthened with Ken Gunn joining, a year after moving from CACI to FSP. Ken’s appointment will enhance our already excellent top team and help to grow our business. At FSP we are, however, all fully aware that it’s the team effort that makes us not only an excellent company to work for, but also excellent to do business with.
Today we received praise from two of our SnapShop clients:
“Thanks for the prompt action”
And
“I would like to thank you for your excellent customer service and client care”
As Ken points out in our press release, the way we work allows us to completely focus on resolving client issues. Further to my Supermarket Sweep blog last week, we must be the Sainsbury’s of the Retail Business Consultancy world!
Supermarket Sweep
On The Up!
I have never needed the fingers on any hand to count the number of unemployed people I know. There just weren’t any. Undoubtedly environment was a huge factor. Birds of a feather, etc. We’re all white collar, professional, management – all the boring boxes on any census or survey, and nothing that would add substantially to our life assurance premiums. Now I need more than one hand to count my unemployed friends, and all are the type who won’t register on the government’s statistics as they’re living on their past earnings and anyway, surely something’s just around the corner?
Well, maybe it is
A look at the national statistics paints a black picture, but has done for some time. The general decline in value of retail sales (with the only positive effect probably caused by our parliamentary members ensuring they utilise their expense account!), house prices and, well, most things, including our savings and income, can be neatly summarised in the GfK NOP Consumer Confidence survey

But look! There seems to be an upward trend once again (three months counts as a trend, doesn’t it?). The pollsters attribute it to the feel good effect of some decent weather, but are keen to point out that questions were asked before the budget announcement.
However, I wouldn’t be surprised if the upward trend continues. The future’s bright: the newly unemployed do not wish to be, summer’s coming (long and hot) and bath plugs for all I say!
SSM April ...And Finally - Two Can Play That Game
Entirely used to being the butt of all jokes Ann Summers was on great form this April Fools, both creating their own light-hearted teaser and being the subject of others’… The infamous, er, ‘lifestyle’ retailer posted a fake listing on their website this year, offering lingerie that becomes invisible in the rising heat of the bedroom! The listing, found here, proclaims the ‘heat-sensitive polymer technology’ will ‘lift and support in all the right places while making it look like you’re naked’…we wonder if that’s what Jacqui Smith was looking for during her recent visit!.
Contact us on +44 01494 474740
or alternatively Email FSP
Subjects
And Finally (2)Future of Retailing (2)
General (7)
Retail Property (4)
Retailers (7)
Shoppers (3)
Statistics (2)


