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Retail Pulse - September 2010

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RNI

Household and Leisure hold their position at the top regarding positive news stories throughout August.

Notably there has been an increase in positive news relating to Catering. This may be due to news such as Starbucks poaching fashion retailer New Look’s head of property and TGI Fridays plans to expand its chain of 46 restaurants with 16 new outlets over the next five years.

Clothing and Footwear, and Catering remain low in terms of positive news against the 2005 base.

Personal Goods shows a marked decrease in August compared to the 2005 base. Food remains the lowest, suffering from a decrease of 9.8% down on August 2009.

FSP on average review over 350 unique items of retailer news. Each article is then scored according to sentiment. RNI is the sum of these scores indexed against 2005 and averaged over a three month period. The RNI time series for all retailers starts from May 2002.



FAB

The FSP Accounts Barometer monitors retailers' financial health.

The latest data include all retailers who have reported for the year to December 2009. The percentage of UK high street retailers deemed Healthy was 38%. PLCs are generally financially stronger than average, with 51% deemed Healthy.

This picture will continue to change, and hopefully grow as more retailers file their accounts.

Recent SnapShop enhancements now mean that members can be notified when their chosen retailers file accounts.



Retail Burn

This month the most talked about retailers over the past month, according to SnapShop and the Retail Burn include M&S, Gap, Greggs, H&M, White Stuff, Starbucks, House of Fraser, Waterstone's, TGI Friday's, Links of London, Ed Hardy, Dolce & Gabbana, Whitbread PLC, Focus, Fat Face, ASDA, American Apparel, New Look JJB Sports and Mitchells & Butlers.

The retailer recording the most amount from positively rated articles of the last month is M&S. The company has partnered with Oxfam to create a one day event where customers can donate unwanted clothing into M&S stores to raise £1m for the charity.

Mitchells & Butlers has attracted the most negative press with the news that the Hospitality group has announced plans to sell off a further 333 pubs from its chain.

Other noteable stories include: Gap has soft launched its first transactional websites in the UK and US coffee chain Starbucks has poached fashion retailer New Look’s head of property.



Hot 100

 

The Hot 100 in August 2010 includes;

  • Affordable furniture store, DFS
  • Quirky fashion store Urban Outfitters
  • Family fashion, Boden
  • Luxury hand bag and luggage, Mulberry.
  • Men and Womens wear TM Lewin,
  • Young fashion store Republic
  • Jewellers Thomas Sabo
  • Specialist fragrance retailer The Perfume Shop

The furniture store DFS has reported a particularly strong year end. This goes in line with their plans to open 10 – 12 stores a year.

These highly sustainable businesses have consistently delighted their loyal customers, have prudently managed their finances and have cautiously expanded, maintaining their appeal…



Product Focus


Targeting Occupiers

If a retail asset is to deliver the strongest possible growth in sustainable rents, it is important to have a tenant strategy which prioritises local opportunities and short lists the most suitable target occupiers.

It is important that the strategy is under pinned by robust intelligence which identifies key market gaps in terms of anchor stores, merchandise sectors, price positioning and fashion offer. For example, a recent FSP project has highlighted a strong opportunity for additional Young Fashion retailers in Edinburgh. See the full text for more details.

Having identified the target consumer, retail mix and ideal positioning for assets, it is then appropriate to identify the most suitable occupiers with which to realise the strategy. FSP shortlists target occupiers using three broad criteria:

• Strategic Fit – does the occupier fit the targeted market gap?

• Economic Fit - is the occupier’s business sustainable?

• Portfolio Fit – are there sufficient customers for the occupier to sustain high levels of rental income

Many of the Strategic and Economic fit questions above can be answered using the information provided on SnapShop .

For Portfolio fit, the charts below illustrate how potential occupiers can be shortlisted by comparing the typical catchment size and shopper profile of trading locations with the asset location

See the full document to understand the message in these charts.

The combination of Strategic, Economic and Portfolio assessment described above enables FSP to identify the most suitable absent occupiers for town centres and retail assets. Having established this initial base, FSP can then to support leasing activity with compelling market evidence to attract critical occupiers and turnover and rent affordability estimates to support the detailed economic assessment of individual lease deals.

For more information on these services please contact FSP consultants.

Read the full article here.



What is Retail Pulse?

Retail Pulse is a free monthly publication that highlights information available at www.fspretail.co.uk.

Helping clients make best use of their retail property is FSP's role, and although all property is location-specific, its best use is affected by industry-wide trends. FSP maintains unique measures of trends in UK retail property, and it's proven that monitoring existing trends improves the understanding of likely future ones.

FSP measures are focused on patterns in retail performance, and are therefore designed to supplement the standard property driven measures. Interpretation of all these data is the FSP business, for information.

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